The True Function of Probability

After a tumultuous and emotional few weeks in the markets, I’ve finally had a bit of a breather from defending positions. It isn’t over yet but right now, I am moved to write on this particular topic over all the others. Recently, I’ve had the opportunity to engage in debates that involve probability. That is, what is the chance that

The Futility of Predicting the Future

My father and I have a running joke on trading the stock market. In Chinese, the word “shares” is called 股票 (pronounced as “goo-pew” in Cantonese or “goo-piao” in Mandarin). The literal translation for each character is simply “stock ticket”. Phonetically, we joke that it sounds like “guess security” – that is, you have to guess the value of the security.

Getting Your Feet Wet in the Stock Market

There have now been enough occasions where people I’ve met have inquired on how I make money in the stock market. I honestly don’t have an answer. The reality is I’m still learning and developing my trading methodology. However, while I don’t have much experience to share, I do have some that should at least help beginners avoid a few of

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